Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rider Broncs vs. Merrimack College Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74c1702089b5df8db1370a5a10cf49301f4397fb0a7be208f8f05a1222c87651
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Merrimack College Warriorsof Rider Broncs, Merrimack College Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Merrimack College Warriors | 80c | 5,195$4,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.06 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rider Broncs | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Rider Broncs | 15c | 4,555$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.29 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Rider Broncs | 20c | 3,650$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.93 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rider Broncs | 16c | 1,713$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.79 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…eab4backed Rider Broncs | 30c | 1,267$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Rider Broncs | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Rider Broncs | 20c | 663.93$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rider Broncs | 22c | 503.8$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rider Broncs | 20c | 443.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked Rider Broncs | 16c | 382.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rider Broncs | 20c | 379$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rider Broncs | 20c | 319.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rider Broncs | 15c | 249.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rider Broncs | 20c | 243.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 79c | 237.21$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Merrimack College Warriors | 78c | 215.54$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed Rider Broncs | 24c | 190.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Rider Broncs | 19c | 140$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…04f6backed Rider Broncs | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Rider Broncs | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…c3c9backed Rider Broncs | 24c | 98.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…7364backed Merrimack College Warriors | 80c | 73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rider Broncs | 18c | 70.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Rider Broncs | 19c | 68.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Merrimack College Warriors | 78c | 29.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed Merrimack College Warriors | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478d…9ea9backed Merrimack College Warriors | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…f569backed Merrimack College Warriors | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e0…1f91backed Merrimack College Warriors | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.