Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3233e3fa4da6c13c5c39eb9daabd74d96370092de31320f0a83557bb1a4a474c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 41c | 5,878$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.35 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 53c | 2,400$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 74c | 1,443$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.39 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 35c | 1,217$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.3 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,153$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.08 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes | 11c | 945.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 69c | 530$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.33 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.75 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 63c | 417.61$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.68 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 407.25$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.74 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 57c | 281.55$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.07 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 70c | 253.47$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 145$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 69c | 85.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 32c | 74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 55c | 70.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 56c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 34c | 37.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…106ebacked Yes | 46c | 30.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 42c | 29.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5a…6ca4backed Yes | 46c | 29.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x753f…d672backed No | 58c | 21.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.