Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53446f4a4e5c558ac394b44c6655dce4e2ba2d6a14d430c987b9671a7a316902
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 53c | 1,226$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.5 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 18c | 918.27$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.39 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 42c | 768.19$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.92 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…0c17backed No | 75c | 570.48$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 35c | 502.28$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.59 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…e614backed Yes | 7c | 498.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.7 | 181 | 16.6%30 W · 151 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 33c | 481.78$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.04 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 13c | 387.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.78 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 28c | 324.64$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.49 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 33c | 295.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.89 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 12c | 276.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.71 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd8…5d8bbacked Yes | 6c | 272.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.24 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 80c | 239.77$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.19 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 22c | 235.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 70c | 227.02$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…75fabacked Yes | 14c | 209$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.75 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e84…659dbacked No | 76c | 203.25$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.19 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 64c | 198.75$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.08 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…5f7bbacked No | 72c | 197.86$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.3 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 16c | 179.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 20c | 162.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.15 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 16c | 156.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.28 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x105c…1011backed Yes | 10c | 149.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…6d4ebacked Yes | 31c | 148.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…4ff7backed No | 59c | 142.48$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 141 | 68.1%96 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…d384backed Yes | 8c | 140$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 36c | 133.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.78 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1c67backed Yes | 73c | 132.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 98 | 77.6%76 W · 22 L | +16.3wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked No | 19c | 124.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 34c | 121.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 58c | 119.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.01 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 118.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 19c | 106.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 33c | 102.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.08 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…fad1backed No | 12c | 100.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…996bbacked Yes | 75c | 96.72$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 65 | 78.5%51 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8110…c1babacked Yes | 39c | 94.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 66c | 90.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 37c | 84.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa17…aa48backed Yes | 14c | 73.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 27c | 71.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…6d11backed No | 57c | 69.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 349 | 70.2%245 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd088…a3eabacked No | 78c | 68.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 62c | 67.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 27c | 67.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 17c | 65.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 20c | 65.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked No | 65c | 62.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…7800backed No | 35c | 62.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 67c | 60.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 72c | 59.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked Yes | 32c | 58.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 38c | 56.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 33c | 55.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…ac89backed Yes | 34c | 55.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe58a…e8b4backed Yes | 27c | 54.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 20c | 53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed Yes | 31c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fd…59aebacked Yes | 41c | 48.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 45c | 47.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 69c | 46.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 79c | 44.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…7007backed Yes | 31c | 43.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed No | 50c | 43.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 141 | 13.5%19 W · 122 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 29c | 42.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 31c | 40.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…9aa1backed No | 71c | 39.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 68cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 39c | 39.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 77c | 37.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 49c | 36.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 42c | 34.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 61c | 31.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 63c | 31.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…70e1backed No | 56c | 27.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 60c | 27.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed No | 79c | 26.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 69c | 25.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b7…b30abacked Yes | 43c | 24.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…2b6bbacked No | 65c | 23.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 130 | 81.5%106 W · 24 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9f…b4e1backed No | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Yes | 70c | 19.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c9…910bbacked Yes | 62c | 19.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…0be4backed No | 61c | 19.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…e4c5backed No | 63c | 19.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…1a8cbacked No | 65c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ad…9a0dbacked No | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb30…8a4cbacked Yes | 80c | 16.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…e245backed No | 79c | 13.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 86 | 76.7%66 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.