Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4754bf645af748ccbd2de88cf9ffd1829e562474c45959c9be720aefe1d9dbbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.07 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 3,161$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.16 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 55c | 1,212$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.18 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 18c | 1,093$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.81 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 71c | 800$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 764$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.44 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed No | 70c | 700$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 60c | 440.95$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.43 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 71c | 407.63$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.42 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 75c | 392.43$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 350.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.75 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 12c | 262.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 55c | 181.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 30c | 165$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked No | 50c | 107.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 15c | 96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 29c | 94.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 45c | 89.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1557…04afbacked Yes | 79c | 76.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 72.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 24c | 69.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Yes | 69c | 69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 63c | 68.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 71c | 54.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 35c | 48.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 58c | 43.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 71c | 39.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 62c | 17.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed No | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Yes | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Alanyaspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-01-25?No won
- Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.