College Football · resolved market
East Carolina vs. Coastal Carolina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1768ebd8d83949563db1daf94452668e5a30c459e35cfb213e4826b8a4807e28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- East Carolinaof East Carolina, Coastal Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked East Carolina | 73c | 1,655$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.54 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Coastal Carolina | 29c | 1,511$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.19 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed East Carolina | 72c | 1,423$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.17 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Coastal Carolina | 29c | 1,089$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.95 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Coastal Carolina | 28c | 633.96$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.08 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked East Carolina | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Coastal Carolina | 26c | 599.2$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked East Carolina | 74c | 497.65$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.9 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked East Carolina | 68c | 471.59$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.27 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Coastal Carolina | 27c | 465.49$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.68 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Coastal Carolina | 36c | 449.91$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.24 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Coastal Carolina | 27c | 190$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Coastal Carolina | 15c | 153.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Coastal Carolina | 27c | 150.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c45…19cbbacked Coastal Carolina | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…0d7fbacked East Carolina | 73c | 98.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77cd…5a13backed East Carolina | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Coastal Carolina | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…ee03backed East Carolina | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked East Carolina | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Coastal Carolina | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…6cfebacked East Carolina | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7d…2db8backed East Carolina | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.