Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Santander Men: Carlos Lopez Montagud vs Sergi Perez Contri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87c5b07acd55d55e64e2730e64e50dabb9a13eba21677bdb0c608a646cb0ee5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sergi Perez Contriof Carlos Lopez Montagud, Sergi Perez Contri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 75c | 1,887$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.25 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Sergi Perez Contri | 29c | 1,703$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.68 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 41c | 1,699$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Sergi Perez Contri | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.93 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Sergi Perez Contri | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sergi Perez Contri | 41c | 969.48$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.82 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 70c | 968.71$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.1 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sergi Perez Contri | 36c | 694.29$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.66 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sergi Perez Contri | 33c | 474.77$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.59 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…e3aebacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 70c | 336.25$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.27 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x023f…4247backed Sergi Perez Contri | 52c | 330.13$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sergi Perez Contri | 35c | 320.32$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.46 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 48c | 292.86$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.57 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 64c | 262.49$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.54 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 71c | 235.45$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.88 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 64c | 159.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 58c | 141.96$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 71c | 139.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Sergi Perez Contri | 53c | 136.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…0304backed Sergi Perez Contri | 32c | 125.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 41c | 101.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…f61abacked Sergi Perez Contri | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Sergi Perez Contri | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Sergi Perez Contri | 35c | 98.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…e738backed Sergi Perez Contri | 49c | 83.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 118 | 61%72 W · 46 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 70c | 80.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 52c | 78.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 51c | 77.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 65c | 77.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 65c | 75.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sergi Perez Contri | 37c | 75.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Sergi Perez Contri | 34c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Sergi Perez Contri | 52c | 41.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Sergi Perez Contri | 53c | 40.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Sergi Perez Contri | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe75…5af2backed Sergi Perez Contri | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +12.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 62c | 33.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 62c | 30.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 365 | 57.3%209 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…e3fcbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 55cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4f…000ebacked Sergi Perez Contri | 41c | 24.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Sergi Perez Contri | 52c | 24.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 57c | 22.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Sergi Perez Contri | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…af5bbacked Carlos Lopez Montagud | 77c | 16.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Carlos Lopez Montagud | 74c | 15.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M25 Santander Men: Carlos Lopez Montagud vs Sergi Perez Contrithis page
- Montagud vs. Contri: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.