Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57f62704d938be55bcb62185fa51aa19e30a653ad99ac72a96c888ee7d671ad6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x559b…4959backed Over | 50c | 4,289$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.37 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 89 | 67.4%60 W · 29 L | +13.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 55c | 572.54$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 40c | 512.17$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.8 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 480.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.09 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 45c | 456$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.85 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 50c | 410$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 214 | 58.9%126 W · 88 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 50c | 410$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 60.3%85 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Under | 50c | 208.28$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.14 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 56c | 187.61$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 45c | 183$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd413…f862backed Under | 56c | 179.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 50c | 164$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 47c | 139.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…d2babacked Over | 36c | 118.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 52c | 101.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 55c | 95.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 50c | 84.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Under | 47c | 83.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 325 | 55.7%181 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 54c | 81.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…1683backed Under | 51c | 79.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 66c | 60.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…4b02backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 62c | 57.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ba…e2b1backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Under | 65c | 51.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 51c | 43.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…59debacked Under | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?JD Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?JD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.