Tennis · resolved market
ITF Nottingham: Emily Appleton vs Oceane Dodin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82086cefc24586b8d927ffe0ff03f4a50e8f96c8432b0631bd860be38302fda4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oceane Dodinof Emily Appleton, Oceane Dodin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oceane Dodin | 44c | 4,008$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.97 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Emily Appleton | 58c | 1,972$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.05 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Emily Appleton | 64c | 1,612$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.17 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oceane Dodin | 54c | 1,347$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.48 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Emily Appleton | 55c | 1,205$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.6 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Emily Appleton | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Oceane Dodin | 58c | 452.58$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.79 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Emily Appleton | 52c | 384$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.58 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Emily Appleton | 33c | 365.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.13 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Emily Appleton | 43c | 321.84$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oceane Dodin | 49c | 309.91$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.93 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Oceane Dodin | 67c | 295.11$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.34 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…20c0backed Emily Appleton | 67c | 270.46$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Oceane Dodin | 42c | 252.27$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.07 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Oceane Dodin | 46c | 209.45$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Emily Appleton | 64c | 202.08$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…697abacked Emily Appleton | 49c | 199.39$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Emily Appleton | 38c | 192.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Oceane Dodin | 43c | 161.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Oceane Dodin | 55c | 148.03$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Emily Appleton | 45c | 144$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Emily Appleton | 60c | 140$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Emily Appleton | 44c | 118$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Emily Appleton | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oceane Dodin | 68c | 95.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Oceane Dodin | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…b6a0backed Oceane Dodin | 67c | 92.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Emily Appleton | 32c | 89.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Emily Appleton | 53c | 87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…2b65backed Emily Appleton | 68c | 86.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Emily Appleton | 31c | 80.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Emily Appleton | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Oceane Dodin | 52c | 69.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Emily Appleton | 42c | 67.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Emily Appleton | 46c | 60.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Oceane Dodin | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Oceane Dodin | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Oceane Dodin | 58c | 55.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Oceane Dodin | 47c | 55.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Oceane Dodin | 40c | 54.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Emily Appleton | 42c | 51.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Oceane Dodin | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b1…7cf8backed Oceane Dodin | 41c | 49.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Emily Appleton | 42c | 46.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Emily Appleton | 58c | 43.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Oceane Dodin | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Oceane Dodin | 40c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Emily Appleton | 32c | 32.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Emily Appleton | 79c | 25.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 77cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Oceane Dodin | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Oceane Dodin | 66c | 24.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Emily Appleton | 50c | 23.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Emily Appleton | 56c | 22.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Oceane Dodin | 51c | 19.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…898ebacked Emily Appleton | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.