Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a739473fe4cd15ca9be121fc4288c771d2b9fbf64c07d3c272115a8f2992941
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 10,516$6,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,306.1 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 5,915$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.48 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 42c | 5,116$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.93 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 4,932$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.01 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1df…1ae1backed Over | 59c | 4,391$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 51c | 2,902$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.43 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 2,002$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.89 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 1,902$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.59 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 46c | 1,870$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.02 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Over | 54c | 1,860$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…2b65backed Over | 27c | 1,480$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 1,253$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.75 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 53c | 1,226$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 42c | 1,147$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.44 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 61c | 1,093$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.77 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…92c1backed Under | 68c | 750.98$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 39c | 700.01$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.04 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 40c | 684.8$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.67 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.28per pick | 37cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Under | 46c | 602.65$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.43 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 38c | 525.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 48c | 403.05$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.29 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Under | 75c | 395$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 388.3$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.15 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 77c | 351.07$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 50c | 334$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 50c | 334$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 53c | 329$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.98 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…bcacbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 23c | 290.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3440…6748backed Over | 60c | 287.41$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 61c | 252.44$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 60c | 217.71$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.47 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 41c | 159.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 64c | 153.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 26c | 149.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 42c | 133.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 61c | 125.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 49c | 118$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…1636backed Over | 39c | 112.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…191cbacked Over | 47c | 108.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 100.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 52c | 89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 49c | 78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 71c | 70.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 51c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 59c | 65.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 47c | 63.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 51c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…82b9backed Over | 57c | 59.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 49c | 57.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 48.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 43c | 46.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 50c | 35.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 46c | 34.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…1ee9backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 64c | 31.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 50c | 24.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 49c | 20.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Under | 58c | 20.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 56c | 20.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 68c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 73c | 14.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5this page
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: Trabzonspor O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.