Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32a84a94b2b0b1e27e1f21963dcd87bdb5cab7a879f2a553efa5d890e1cd202a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 74c | 2,081$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.9 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 2,046$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.99 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 68c | 908.89$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.89 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 770.27$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.24 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 76c | 605$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.54 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 47c | 346.4$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.81 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 317.46$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.46 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…bcacbacked Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 295$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.75 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 5c | 290$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…5d2ebacked Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 76c | 149.68$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 40c | 149.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 52c | 139.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 77c | 103.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddc…086dbacked Over | 60c | 99.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 85.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf9…d602backed Over | 74c | 84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 40c | 73.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 23c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 73c | 40.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 40c | 27.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 76c | 25.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d8…b421backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5this page
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor: Trabzonspor O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)Kasımpaşa SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.