Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hechingen: Barbora Palicova vs Federica Urgesi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9af93ebf89869e64e8b7baa9d32a14bd2e9399bce41d75340848ee481512ed6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barbora Palicovaof Barbora Palicova, Federica Urgesi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Barbora Palicova | 53c | 12,829$6,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,045.79 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Federica Urgesi | 42c | 11,146$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704.01 | 152 | 25%38 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Federica Urgesi | 47c | 2,092$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.88 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…ae4bbacked Federica Urgesi | 50c | 982.88$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.44 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Barbora Palicova | 56c | 920.4$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.29 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Barbora Palicova | 64c | 542.68$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.53 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Federica Urgesi | 42c | 389.02$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.17 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Barbora Palicova | 76c | 361$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Federica Urgesi | 41c | 321$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.66 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Federica Urgesi | 23c | 295.91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.27 | 1,002 | 50.2%503 W · 499 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Federica Urgesi | 39c | 274.39$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.81 | 663 | 47.1%312 W · 351 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Federica Urgesi | 25c | 271.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Federica Urgesi | 39c | 255.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Federica Urgesi | 40c | 186.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Barbora Palicova | 67c | 165.07$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 892 | 63.8%569 W · 323 L | +62.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Federica Urgesi | 22c | 163.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Barbora Palicova | 68c | 163$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 635 | 46.1%293 W · 342 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Federica Urgesi | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 930 | 55.9%520 W · 410 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Federica Urgesi | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 870 | 54.6%475 W · 395 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Federica Urgesi | 39c | 114$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Federica Urgesi | 38c | 112.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Barbora Palicova | 73c | 98.3$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Federica Urgesi | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 913 | 54.9%501 W · 412 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Barbora Palicova | 50c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…2b65backed Barbora Palicova | 73c | 76.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Federica Urgesi | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 824 | 60.6%499 W · 325 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Federica Urgesi | 24c | 63.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 742 | 46.4%344 W · 398 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Barbora Palicova | 68c | 56.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Barbora Palicova | 77c | 54.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 1,232 | 65.4%806 W · 426 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…16c7backed Federica Urgesi | 53c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Barbora Palicova | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 965 | 41.5%400 W · 565 L | +14.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10be…1c36backed Federica Urgesi | 55c | 45.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Federica Urgesi | 48c | 41.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 507 | 46.5%236 W · 271 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Federica Urgesi | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Federica Urgesi | 26c | 38.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 599 | 41.1%246 W · 353 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Federica Urgesi | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Federica Urgesi | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Federica Urgesi | 39c | 34.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca76…d365backed Barbora Palicova | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 62 | 98.4%61 W · 1 L | +13.4wins | +0.22per pick | 77cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…1a32backed Barbora Palicova | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +17.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Barbora Palicova | 45c | 31.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Barbora Palicova | 67c | 23.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 382 | 57.6%220 W · 162 L | +19.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Federica Urgesi | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Federica Urgesi | 64c | 22.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Barbora Palicova | 67c | 20.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +26.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…1701backed Barbora Palicova | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.