Cricket · resolved market
T20 European Cup: Romania vs Austria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3298fa3362c8f7c29e21eb123b21f4c571cf4108c5dceeeaa7e603e812acbe4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Romaniaof Romania, Austria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11eb…50cbbacked Austria | 50c | 1,614$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.64 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Romania | 50c | 985.04$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.62 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Austria | 6c | 717.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Austria | 48c | 352.56$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…99d0backed Austria | 60c | 257.19$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.3 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Romania | 40c | 214.03$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.71 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Romania | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…486ebacked Austria | 64c | 180.61$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.01 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Romania | 46c | 138.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Austria | 49c | 101.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Austria | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…c78bbacked Romania | 72c | 99.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Romania | 67c | 82.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Romania | 58c | 79.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Romania | 51c | 78.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Austria | 22c | 77.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed Romania | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Romania | 41c | 72.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Romania | 64c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Austria | 57c | 63.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…7c65backed Austria | 19c | 58.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Romania | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10be…1c36backed Romania | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Romania | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac4…4e17backed Romania | 43c | 46.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Austria | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…d689backed Romania | 77c | 27.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +8.7wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…4c15backed Romania | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa158…acacbacked Austria | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Romania | 65c | 15.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.