Cricket · resolved market
T20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Namibia vs Uganda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69acf2ec71bab4408b5e1343f0eb4218ed2d317264c28478325f65fc56a2e9ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ugandaof Namibia, Uganda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Uganda | 32c | 2,119$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.55 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Namibia | 68c | 1,675$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.74 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…eb96backed Uganda | 67c | 519.93$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.13 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…4adfbacked Namibia | 67c | 455$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.3 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Uganda | 33c | 376.12$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.24 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…5047backed Namibia | 48c | 312.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd294…7065backed Namibia | 70c | 250.83$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.36 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Namibia | 50c | 216.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Namibia | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Uganda | 48c | 137.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.43 | 134 | 18.7%25 W · 109 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…0a1bbacked Namibia | 58c | 120.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Uganda | 34c | 116.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa158…acacbacked Namibia | 75c | 113.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.63 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Namibia | 57c | 112.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Uganda | 46c | 109.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Namibia | 79c | 108.24$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…b914backed Uganda | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…9cccbacked Namibia | 43c | 81.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Uganda | 46c | 78.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Uganda | 34c | 71.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed Namibia | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 64.9%61 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ca…70d3backed Namibia | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Uganda | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc5…b13bbacked Uganda | 48c | 50.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Uganda | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…3275backed Uganda | 48c | 48.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Uganda | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…c19bbacked Namibia | 28c | 38.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Namibia | 65c | 36.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d8…3c0cbacked Namibia | 67c | 29.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Namibia | 65c | 27.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd7…60e4backed Namibia | 62c | 24.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Namibia | 62c | 24.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Namibia | 63c | 24.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…5388backed Namibia | 67c | 21.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.