Cricket · resolved market
T20 European Cup: France vs Austria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x277551817f7e20471fceeef66802944da7e7ca4f5347286ffbfd8cf31e26b43c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franceof France, Austria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1346…0448backed Austria | 13c | 835.82$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Austria | 48c | 658.8$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.76 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked France | 47c | 626.97$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.28 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb69…cdf0backed France | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…eb44backed France | 38c | 452$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Austria | 59c | 359.22$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.92 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed France | 53c | 346.56$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.62 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…1833backed Austria | 47c | 336.15$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.98 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Austria | 61c | 323.18$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Austria | 31c | 266.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed France | 46c | 266.02$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.35 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…eb96backed France | 79c | 265.75$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…8d80backed Austria | 62c | 243$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Austria | 68c | 240.66$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.6 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked France | 53c | 234.7$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…e613backed Austria | 62c | 212$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Austria | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Austria | 30c | 158.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Austria | 43c | 148.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Austria | 71c | 131.77$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked France | 31c | 122.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.15 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…fb0cbacked Austria | 55c | 108.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…e3ffbacked Austria | 45c | 101$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked France | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8502…698cbacked France | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…8142backed Austria | 62c | 87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed France | 42c | 86.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed France | 46c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed France | 73c | 56.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Austria | 60c | 49.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Austria | 63c | 49.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked France | 51c | 39.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed France | 38c | 37.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…4c15backed Austria | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed France | 38c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed France | 50c | 28.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed Austria | 48c | 25.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed France | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa93c…16f3backed France | 59c | 20.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked France | 62c | 17.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.