Tennis · resolved market
Pau: Raphael Collignon vs Benjamin Bonzi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa525a3f11ea035a29083658ebae3a091da56c3bfab0f445a4c47d316ab2f5a75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Collignonof Collignon, Bonzi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bonzi | 26c | 4,964$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.29 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bonzi | 45c | 4,002$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.52 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bonzi | 1c | 3,894$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Collignon | 60c | 3,402$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.96 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Bonzi | 12c | 380.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…b0b3backed Bonzi | 34c | 292.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce4…62fcbacked Bonzi | 59c | 249.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Bonzi | 33c | 227.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Bonzi | 58c | 185$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Collignon | 67c | 149.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bonzi | 38c | 131.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Collignon | 61c | 111.57$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Collignon | 50c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Collignon | 64c | 102.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Collignon | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bonzi | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Bonzi | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Collignon | 62c | 90.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bonzi | 21c | 81.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Collignon | 68c | 76.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Collignon | 56c | 73.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Collignon | 68c | 73.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bonzi | 32c | 68.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Collignon | 48c | 68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Collignon | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Bonzi | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Collignon | 71c | 58.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Bonzi | 38c | 52.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…9b3bbacked Collignon | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Collignon | 65c | 50.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Bonzi | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a95…5f4ebacked Bonzi | 38c | 45.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…16ccbacked Collignon | 52c | 41.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x394b…4f55backed Collignon | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2139backed Collignon | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Collignon | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Collignon | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 202 | 70.8%143 W · 59 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Collignon | 62c | 26.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Collignon | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Collignon | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Collignon | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Collignon | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Collignon | 57c | 17.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Collignon | 63c | 16.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pau: Raphael Collignon vs Benjamin Bonzithis page
- Collignon vs. Bonzi: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Collignon vs. Bonzi: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Collignon vs BonziCollignon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.