Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Lancashire vs Gloucestershire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b2881fea290eb3f7925136c25b577fa321b435041a2a20d7236b9c04ef19c0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lancashireof Lancashire, Gloucestershire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Gloucestershire | 20c | 2,129$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.46 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lancashire | 27c | 1,415$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.16 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Gloucestershire | 72c | 1,196$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.84 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Gloucestershire | 75c | 672.65$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.4 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lancashire | 65c | 620.18$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.72 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Lancashire | 24c | 544.17$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +199.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gloucestershire | 70c | 216.84$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.41 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Lancashire | 53c | 211.93$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gloucestershire | 49c | 209.52$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Gloucestershire | 32c | 192.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lancashire | 53c | 184.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.09 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Lancashire | 29c | 141$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Lancashire | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Gloucestershire | 51c | 138.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Lancashire | 63c | 129.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…b914backed Gloucestershire | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…e287backed Lancashire | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Lancashire | 53c | 99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gloucestershire | 35c | 93.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Gloucestershire | 74c | 91.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Gloucestershire | 49c | 79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Lancashire | 29c | 71.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Lancashire | 28c | 63.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Lancashire | 27c | 53.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Gloucestershire | 52c | 52.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Lancashire | 54c | 43.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Lancashire | 27c | 43.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Lancashire | 51c | 41.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Lancashire | 28c | 39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Lancashire | 75c | 30.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…2639backed Gloucestershire | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Gloucestershire | 50c | 25.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x381f…3f98backed Lancashire | 50c | 23.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…b3dcbacked Gloucestershire | 50c | 23.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd0…e690backed Lancashire | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a6…b298backed Gloucestershire | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Lancashire | 50c | 21.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c5…bac8backed Lancashire | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f5…5fabbacked Gloucestershire | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.