Cricket · resolved market
T20 Lanka Premier League: Colombo Kaps vs Dambulla Sixers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5459ff398d79aee4251119d51af1a1781a07323a9cc5a47d22ea2a30fdbb55f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colombo Kapsof Colombo Kaps, Dambulla Sixers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Dambulla Sixers | 1c | 14,630$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Dambulla Sixers | 13c | 2,308$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Colombo Kaps | 45c | 1,456$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.56 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Dambulla Sixers | 55c | 1,182$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.09 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Dambulla Sixers | 54c | 1,138$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.2 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Dambulla Sixers | 5c | 1,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 134 | 18.7%25 W · 109 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Dambulla Sixers | 14c | 808.89$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Dambulla Sixers | 57c | 559.11$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.68 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037a…1202backed Dambulla Sixers | 15c | 504.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…8eefbacked Colombo Kaps | 47c | 424$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b3…1fd0backed Colombo Kaps | 46c | 407.58$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.1 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…1c42backed Dambulla Sixers | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 113 | 6.2%7 W · 106 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Dambulla Sixers | 10c | 359.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Dambulla Sixers | 3c | 329.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Dambulla Sixers | 18c | 309.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e02…febcbacked Colombo Kaps | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Colombo Kaps | 68c | 294.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4d…820bbacked Colombo Kaps | 75c | 217.77$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Colombo Kaps | 45c | 170$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab6…a485backed Dambulla Sixers | 9c | 129.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab55…197cbacked Dambulla Sixers | 39c | 124.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…a376backed Colombo Kaps | 59c | 102.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed Dambulla Sixers | 19c | 100.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Colombo Kaps | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…c78bbacked Colombo Kaps | 69c | 99.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b8…1cbbbacked Colombo Kaps | 75c | 99.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dambulla Sixers | 41c | 93.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Dambulla Sixers | 54c | 88.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Dambulla Sixers | 54c | 82.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked Dambulla Sixers | 46c | 73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 328 | 46.3%152 W · 176 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Dambulla Sixers | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Colombo Kaps | 43c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147d…1968backed Dambulla Sixers | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f75…0d6ebacked Colombo Kaps | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Colombo Kaps | 66c | 41.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dambulla Sixers | 53c | 40.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Colombo Kaps | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Colombo Kaps | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…486ebacked Dambulla Sixers | 32c | 37.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…43d5backed Dambulla Sixers | 39c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed Colombo Kaps | 57c | 34.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 94 | 64.9%61 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a99…40d8backed Colombo Kaps | 70c | 28.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccb…8590backed Colombo Kaps | 77c | 23.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.