Tennis · resolved market
Lille: Clement Chidekh vs Jacob Fearnley
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa87bd1027bd8a3da0af01f148ebeb8609b9967bb8cfabfd826b1906f96c0e9d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chidekhof Chidekh, Fearnley
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Fearnley | 34c | 5,978$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.96 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fearnley | 0c | 3,680$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fearnley | 11c | 2,836$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.96 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Chidekh | 61c | 2,399$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.97 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Chidekh | 54c | 990.09$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.98 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…fa9bbacked Fearnley | 55c | 731.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Chidekh | 73c | 679$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chidekh | 62c | 654.66$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.73 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Fearnley | 34c | 588.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Fearnley | 57c | 569$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.95 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Fearnley | 43c | 427.64$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Fearnley | 62c | 416.82$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.37 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Fearnley | 44c | 398.89$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Fearnley | 38c | 397.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fearnley | 63c | 357.51$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.49 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Fearnley | 62c | 320.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chidekh | 39c | 263.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.87 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Fearnley | 40c | 247.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chidekh | 38c | 229.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Fearnley | 51c | 211.2$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.61 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fearnley | 43c | 198.22$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fearnley | 48c | 190.43$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Chidekh | 61c | 164.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Chidekh | 55c | 162.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Fearnley | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Chidekh | 37c | 146.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.03 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…6323backed Chidekh | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 102 | 67.6%69 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Chidekh | 36c | 144.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Chidekh | 51c | 143.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.67 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Fearnley | 45c | 143.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fearnley | 50c | 135.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Fearnley | 62c | 127.42$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Fearnley | 64c | 120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Chidekh | 38c | 114.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Chidekh | 36c | 114.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.28 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca3…0a58backed Chidekh | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Chidekh | 39c | 113$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Fearnley | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Chidekh | 37c | 90.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Chidekh | 39c | 88.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chidekh | 34c | 64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chidekh | 57c | 57.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed Fearnley | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Fearnley | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Fearnley | 65c | 44.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Fearnley | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Fearnley | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Chidekh | 39c | 40.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Chidekh | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Fearnley | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chidekh | 43c | 34.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Fearnley | 59c | 34.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Fearnley | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…0bb0backed Fearnley | 36c | 30.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Fearnley | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…88e5backed Fearnley | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Fearnley | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7c…cd3abacked Chidekh | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Chidekh | 63c | 19.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Chidekh | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…f727backed Fearnley | 62c | 19.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…3679backed Fearnley | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Chidekh | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.