Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Billy Harris
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3be742ce3960a0eb3c2f8d7bba2ce980ec695d0eac104874058ac8fcd8b0635
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Harrisof Trungelliti, Harris
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trungelliti | 31c | 9,750$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.02 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Trungelliti | 49c | 5,063$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.89 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Harris | 62c | 4,931$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.05 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Harris | 24c | 2,084$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.75 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Trungelliti | 45c | 1,680$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.67 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Harris | 66c | 1,519$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.55 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…6a55backed Harris | 47c | 1,065$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.58 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Trungelliti | 31c | 1,047$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.75 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Trungelliti | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Trungelliti | 44c | 778.75$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.65 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Harris | 59c | 714$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.15 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Harris | 23c | 697.26$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.89 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Harris | 59c | 696$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.5 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Trungelliti | 36c | 633.82$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Harris | 59c | 487.24$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.81 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Harris | 61c | 471.1$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.02 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Harris | 76c | 469.92$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.51 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Trungelliti | 54c | 462.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.91 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x495b…8762backed Trungelliti | 80c | 455.89$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Harris | 49c | 365.84$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.2 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Harris | 32c | 310.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.42 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Harris | 58c | 205.17$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f2…f62cbacked Harris | 57c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Harris | 66c | 176.3$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Harris | 55c | 149.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Harris | 55c | 140$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Trungelliti | 45c | 139.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Trungelliti | 57c | 130.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Harris | 45c | 123.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…8688backed Trungelliti | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b76…0fe3backed Trungelliti | 35c | 115.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Trungelliti | 58c | 112.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -12.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…0575backed Harris | 57c | 106.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Trungelliti | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Harris | 56c | 95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf77…d66dbacked Harris | 56c | 89.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Harris | 73c | 89.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Harris | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Harris | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Harris | 57c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…2b46backed Harris | 25c | 81.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Trungelliti | 43c | 81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Trungelliti | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Trungelliti | 17c | 78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Harris | 65c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Harris | 58c | 63.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Trungelliti | 33c | 63.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Trungelliti | 58c | 59.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Trungelliti | 42c | 56.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Harris | 57c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Harris | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Harris | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Trungelliti | 61c | 38.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9c…6b57backed Trungelliti | 30c | 37.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Harris | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Trungelliti | 45c | 30.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444a…00bebacked Trungelliti | 69c | 28.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Trungelliti | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Harris | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Trungelliti | 75c | 20.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…a086backed Harris | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +6.6wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.