Euroleague · resolved market
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Beijing Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c0073f55439a50dfbddbcd80706d44794fc4cebb183c8a80f5792574fa42509
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beijing Ducksof Beijing Royal Fighters, Beijing Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 21c | 16,671$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,467.94 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…146abacked Beijing Ducks | 79c | 16,033$12,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ac…6ab1backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 0c | 14,101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Beijing Ducks | 73c | 4,024$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.02 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 24c | 2,736$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.14 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Beijing Ducks | 76c | 1,877$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.77 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -61%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Beijing Ducks | 78c | 1,474$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.72 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 18c | 1,412$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.47 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 27c | 1,371$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.28 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 30c | 1,077$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.2 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Beijing Ducks | 80c | 858.52$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.83 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 18c | 817.53$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.44 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 33c | 574.62$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.01 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Beijing Ducks | 70c | 569.99$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 34c | 556.25$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.12 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Beijing Ducks | 75c | 523.04$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.52 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Beijing Ducks | 79c | 503.77$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.64 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 7c | 482.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Beijing Ducks | 66c | 445.27$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.39 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Beijing Ducks | 79c | 424.97$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 11c | 343.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 34c | 285.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.02 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Beijing Ducks | 69c | 285.03$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 24c | 261.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Beijing Ducks | 79c | 240.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Beijing Ducks | 73c | 231.96$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 28c | 178.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 21c | 178.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Beijing Ducks | 66c | 148.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 31c | 127.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 26c | 105.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d475backed Beijing Ducks | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…e326backed Beijing Ducks | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 33c | 93.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Beijing Ducks | 70c | 90.34$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 22c | 88.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a84…6ca9backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 18c | 84.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 25c | 79.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 18c | 79.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 25c | 73.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 32c | 73.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Beijing Ducks | 74c | 72.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 30c | 71.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 31c | 58.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…da9ebacked Beijing Ducks | 72c | 47.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Beijing Ducks | 71c | 38.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 30c | 35.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Beijing Ducks | 75c | 35.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Beijing Ducks | 78c | 31.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 34c | 31.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Beijing Ducks | 67c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Beijing Ducks | 73c | 27.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Beijing Ducks | 79c | 26.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Beijing Ducks | 73c | 18.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Beijing Ducks | 75c | 14.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.