CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Color (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa64c9a5e0f3ef313391d0e4f6eec71ca1c1675ceb0c04dda1cacd1da1206df3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorof BakS eSports, Color
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Color | 55c | 2,653$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.01 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BakS eSports | 43c | 1,644$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.5 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Color | 57c | 1,602$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.65 | 590 | 55.3%326 W · 264 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked BakS eSports | 44c | 895.96$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.69 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed BakS eSports | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 270 | 45.9%124 W · 146 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed BakS eSports | 46c | 653$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.38 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked Color | 55c | 544.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.69 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BakS eSports | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Color | 56c | 363.57$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.97 | 458 | 54.8%251 W · 207 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Color | 58c | 216.87$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Color | 60c | 199.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Color | 56c | 122.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Color | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 835 | 56.2%469 W · 366 L | +31.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed BakS eSports | 44c | 103$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 482 | 51.7%249 W · 233 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Color | 56c | 94.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked BakS eSports | 44c | 75.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 321 | 58.3%187 W · 134 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…ffdbbacked BakS eSports | 43c | 69.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…1a7bbacked BakS eSports | 42c | 53.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -7.9wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf84d…8830backed Color | 56c | 52.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Color | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Color | 56c | 46.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed BakS eSports | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed BakS eSports | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…1528backed BakS eSports | 45c | 41.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked BakS eSports | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Color | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Color | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed BakS eSports | 44c | 34.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked BakS eSports | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 169 | 67.5%114 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…a9d3backed Color | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Color | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Color | 56c | 18.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 415 | 55.4%230 W · 185 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.