CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs ex-GANK Esports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x429a5c3c6f79d9ef1def5dd79e26ec39bb7c62b9fffbc47599d54b4ae1dfcea1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-GANK Esportsof XI Esport, ex-GANK Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed ex-GANK Esports | 79c | 25,480$20,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,263.65 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed XI Esport | 18c | 15,618$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.81 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed XI Esport | 0c | 8,031$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed XI Esport | 24c | 3,000$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.5 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed XI Esport | 19c | 2,337$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.68 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked XI Esport | 38c | 1,928$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…f2a3backed XI Esport | 39c | 1,162$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3811…5d15backed XI Esport | 39c | 1,033$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed XI Esport | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.01 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06e…7f1cbacked XI Esport | 39c | 900$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa7…cf57backed ex-GANK Esports | 61c | 750$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbd…16d6backed XI Esport | 41c | 738.54$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.96 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked XI Esport | 35c | 699.21$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked ex-GANK Esports | 58c | 683.25$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.86 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked XI Esport | 54c | 672$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.07 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…14febacked XI Esport | 39c | 671$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…ae21backed ex-GANK Esports | 61c | 666$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23d…8eaebacked XI Esport | 40c | 634$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2d96backed XI Esport | 19c | 587.13$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…ef4ebacked XI Esport | 39c | 570$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…b7cfbacked ex-GANK Esports | 61c | 568$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb6…efbebacked XI Esport | 40c | 544$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed XI Esport | 31c | 457$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.67 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…f3efbacked ex-GANK Esports | 60c | 454$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…26b2backed ex-GANK Esports | 61c | 412$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed XI Esport | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4079…5331backed ex-GANK Esports | 60c | 373$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d13…a448backed ex-GANK Esports | 61c | 367$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6f…b384backed ex-GANK Esports | 61c | 365$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…4e12backed ex-GANK Esports | 61c | 332$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked XI Esport | 7c | 326.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x39d6…1582backed ex-GANK Esports | 61c | 306$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked ex-GANK Esports | 45c | 305$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.56 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd40…e410backed ex-GANK Esports | 61c | 297$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…612ebacked ex-GANK Esports | 61c | 273$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed XI Esport | 19c | 272.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed XI Esport | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…528fbacked XI Esport | 10c | 266.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ex-GANK Esports | 59c | 242$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked XI Esport | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked XI Esport | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked ex-GANK Esports | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…6448backed ex-GANK Esports | 60c | 180$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed ex-GANK Esports | 62c | 174.73$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed ex-GANK Esports | 61c | 171.34$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…0ca7backed ex-GANK Esports | 60c | 171$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed ex-GANK Esports | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked ex-GANK Esports | 47c | 167$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.51 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed XI Esport | 39c | 143.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed XI Esport | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed ex-GANK Esports | 62c | 95.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…c471backed XI Esport | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…b8e6backed XI Esport | 29c | 69.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed ex-GANK Esports | 59c | 68.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed XI Esport | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked ex-GANK Esports | 71c | 39.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked ex-GANK Esports | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a852backed XI Esport | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…4cf1backed ex-GANK Esports | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed ex-GANK Esports | 59c | 24.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed ex-GANK Esports | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs ex-GANK Esports (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs ex-GANK Esports - Map 1 Winnerex-GANK Esports won
- Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs ex-GANK Esports - Map 2 Winnerex-GANK Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.