Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92e500cc6c1f6878cd81082ce0dca672595be340fb8722355f2e8e021938e4f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 51c | 1,783$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.88 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 56c | 666.32$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.66 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 44c | 455.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.05 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 48c | 323.66$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.74 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 55c | 251$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.1 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed Yes | 52c | 243.38$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 58c | 239.65$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 21c | 205.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.98 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 54c | 200$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…488cbacked Yes | 51c | 195.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 48c | 190.95$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 20c | 189.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 55c | 185.49$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 163.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 49c | 159.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 51c | 158.88$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 77c | 146.72$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.44 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f98…e397backed Yes | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 70c | 112.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 39c | 108$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 30c | 107.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 35c | 106$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 48c | 104.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 58c | 103.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…6c9abacked Yes | 42c | 101.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 54c | 98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 24c | 95.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 51c | 95.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 72c | 94.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 52c | 89.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ad…5f89backed No | 49c | 83.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 69c | 83.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 63c | 76.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 44c | 76.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed Yes | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 36c | 73.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 44c | 71.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 69.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…f9bfbacked Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39f3…74c9backed Yes | 22c | 65.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 79c | 65.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 29c | 59.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 52c | 57.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 52c | 54.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 75c | 51.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 33c | 51.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed4c…03cabacked No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed No | 62c | 51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…94cbbacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2aa…f58dbacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…d659backed Yes | 23c | 49.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 271 | 30.6%83 W · 188 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 30c | 47.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 79c | 46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 45c | 44.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 41.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked Yes | 48c | 41.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 49c | 41.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 67c | 31.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed No | 44c | 30.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked Yes | 46c | 29.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 56c | 29.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…7da9backed Yes | 52c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed No | 48c | 27.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c10…5269backed No | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 49c | 25.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…97c4backed No | 52c | 22.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 59c | 22.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed Yes | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…9b4ebacked Yes | 69c | 21.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 69c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 63c | 20.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa012…2af7backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 78c | 15.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…f8b9backed No | 78c | 14.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…259dbacked Yes | 77c | 12.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C or below on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on June 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.