World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x276887a9dfc262ba4b2a94e14a0fbc848d43c16e5b8566d426d9d7db152d64a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 25c | 334.31$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 63c | 278.21$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.05 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 49c | 234.49$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.25 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 51c | 192.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 19c | 190$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 61c | 178$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 39c | 176.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…fd39backed No | 58c | 172.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 45c | 165.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 18c | 142.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 32c | 137.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 44c | 126.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 36c | 112.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…a8f4backed No | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 37c | 98.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 38c | 96.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 24c | 95.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 59c | 88.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 17c | 72.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 42c | 69.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 37c | 67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked No | 49c | 59.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 50c | 58.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 72c | 52.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…3e60backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 56c | 49.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…f053backed No | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 56c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 34c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 40c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…cd1dbacked No | 48c | 41.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 55c | 39.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…f156backed No | 57c | 38.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…a1dfbacked Yes | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 55c | 36.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…82debacked Yes | 45c | 36.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…f092backed Yes | 45c | 36.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 36c | 35.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 49c | 34.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefb7…dcfdbacked No | 56c | 33.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 33.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcff…8528backed No | 64c | 33.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 38c | 32.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 38c | 32.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 36c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked No | 49c | 31.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 36c | 30.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c99…6efbbacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e0…283bbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Yes | 51c | 28.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 51c | 28.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 51c | 28.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…1398backed Yes | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b6…0d76backed Yes | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 24.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 63c | 23.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 53c | 22.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 52c | 22.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…e526backed Yes | 49c | 20.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6430…fb2fbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07c…6c36backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…67c5backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 54c | 19.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 18.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 56c | 18.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 78c | 17.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 79c | 15.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…e92abacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.