World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa91d25738cac9c967074ee01e28ac13bc01b3b74ac36f1951a59b13c5b4dce8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ea2…cd1dbacked Yes | 43c | 569.85$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.09 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 17c | 419.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.26 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 5c | 401.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 37c | 314.68$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.38 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 40c | 301.33$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.58 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41c…4859backed Yes | 79c | 292.18$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 44c | 274$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.38 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 15c | 269.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.19 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 14c | 238.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked No | 33c | 233.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 15c | 206.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed Yes | 70c | 188.62$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 36c | 180$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked No | 41c | 179.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 14c | 179.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…8ffbbacked Yes | 37c | 176.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Yes | 55c | 170.92$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed Yes | 9c | 167$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.26 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 9c | 148.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 104 | 14.4%15 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 16c | 148.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.17 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 74c | 147.24$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 47c | 146.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed Yes | 14c | 138.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.85 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 35c | 134.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…34c4backed No | 42c | 129.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c99…6efbbacked Yes | 21c | 129.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd090…3bc5backed Yes | 79c | 125.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 25c | 117.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 114.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 11c | 113.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 10c | 112.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.56 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 11c | 109.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.69 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 40c | 101.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 64c | 96.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 11c | 95.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 57c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 19c | 84.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 61c | 83.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 42c | 76.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 46c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 54c | 69.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 36c | 68.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 31c | 64.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…fcdfbacked Yes | 78c | 64.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…3c91backed Yes | 34c | 63.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 60c | 63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 54c | 61.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0a…71dabacked Yes | 65c | 59.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…d496backed Yes | 71c | 59.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.37per pick | 45cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 69c | 58.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 53 | 83%44 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 45c | 56.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4c…3d58backed Yes | 65c | 53.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…118ebacked Yes | 64c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…6d6ebacked Yes | 39c | 51.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…0589backed No | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 31c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…1096backed No | 52c | 49.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked No | 38c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 46c | 48.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 69c | 48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 66c | 43.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 47c | 42.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 63c | 41.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 40.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…308abacked No | 46c | 33.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebbc…9df5backed No | 62c | 33.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…7a7dbacked Yes | 58c | 33.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 34c | 32.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 142 | 5.6%8 W · 134 L | -27.2wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 68c | 32.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 186 | 69.4%129 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…33b5backed Yes | 65c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 28.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 68c | 28.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 44c | 28.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4308backed Yes | 75c | 26.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 77c | 26.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 48c | 25.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…b884backed Yes | 79c | 25.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…60eebacked Yes | 76c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6392backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…3edabacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -64%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…5671backed Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed Yes | 79c | 19.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Yes | 64c | 18.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…667abacked Yes | 66c | 17.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…8136backed Yes | 63c | 16.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.