TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
3DMAXof TheMongolz, 3DMAX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,918 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz38c7,375$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,778.153,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked 3DMAX64c7,122$4,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,563.9283652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed 3DMAX63c2,216$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.0771645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked TheMongolz35c1,700$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59536245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed TheMongolz50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75010739.3%42 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked 3DMAX65c1,490$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.524943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked TheMongolz37c1,284$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.9761228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed 3DMAX63c1,000$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.5112446.8%58 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed TheMongolz37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18555236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked 3DMAX65c397.84$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2416235.8%58 W · 104 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcea8…5b32backed TheMongolz36c397$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…4a77backed TheMongolz36c358$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8346…d539backed TheMongolz36c356$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfca4…8651backed TheMongolz36c344$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe8…fadebacked TheMongolz36c322$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8d…5664backed TheMongolz35c319.68$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.148242.7%35 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e0e…fcccbacked TheMongolz36c313$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87d3…b7a5backed 3DMAX64c290$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6321…7091backed TheMongolz36c282$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed TheMongolz34c280$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.218041.7%75 W · 105 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66bd…7dadbacked 3DMAX64c279$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked TheMongolz37c270$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.938051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8ad…4683backed 3DMAX64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e6…15b6backed 3DMAX64c240$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+121%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe859…bb2abacked 3DMAX64c236$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02aa…d1cebacked 3DMAX64c217$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+47.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d3e…6be3backed TheMongolz36c216$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf617…ee4cbacked 3DMAX64c215$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1537…cdc1backed 3DMAX64c215$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0624…cc8abacked 3DMAX64c214$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e0…f206backed 3DMAX64c209$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbae5…5688backed TheMongolz36c207$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec6…7980backed TheMongolz36c205$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x654d…021dbacked 3DMAX64c203$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54c9…387abacked TheMongolz36c196$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…a71cbacked TheMongolz36c195$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b8…5d83backed TheMongolz36c194$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3e…a061backed 3DMAX64c193$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1818…20f6backed 3DMAX64c190$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7a…b910backed 3DMAX64c187$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50aa…0003backed 3DMAX66c186.08$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.27862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4459…41fdbacked TheMongolz36c185$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa524…81d9backed 3DMAX64c179$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb009…a4b2backed 3DMAX64c178$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f73…7560backed 3DMAX64c173$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97d4…c5dcbacked 3DMAX64c170$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40e…11aebacked 3DMAX64c164$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd59c…a66abacked TheMongolz36c162$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bf…b27fbacked TheMongolz36c161$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb833…4119backed 3DMAX64c160$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8147…2affbacked 3DMAX64c160$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e46…d9abbacked 3DMAX64c157$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91a2…6f42backed TheMongolz36c155$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe956…59edbacked TheMongolz36c154$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c2f…c379backed 3DMAX64c154$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x113a…8c83backed TheMongolz36c153$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…7aa9backed TheMongolz36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x461c…62a0backed 3DMAX64c147$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd6…d2d5backed TheMongolz36c145$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b25…3478backed TheMongolz36c143$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d3…2c7abacked 3DMAX64c141$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed 3DMAX71c140.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.676246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc02b…abd4backed 3DMAX64c137$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x373e…a80abacked 3DMAX64c133$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8381…a304backed 3DMAX65c129.29$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2512273.8%90 W · 32 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeff9…1fe3backed TheMongolz36c127$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x301f…c20ebacked TheMongolz36c126$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed 3DMAX68c113.63$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6315056%84 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed 3DMAX65c106.15$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1514654.8%80 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x893a…37debacked 3DMAX65c101.54$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.541471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4287…3d5ebacked TheMongolz38c81.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.15642.9%24 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked TheMongolz37c70$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.813845.7%63 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked TheMongolz25c63.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.94425%11 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…adebbacked TheMongolz37c62.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed TheMongolz33c57.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.182,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4fc4…9113backed 3DMAX64c55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed 3DMAX61c51.28$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2050947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed 3DMAX62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8995849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked TheMongolz35c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.37545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed 3DMAX35c49.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0736645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked 3DMAX61c47.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.514463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed 3DMAX65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7712355.3%68 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a34…e379backed 3DMAX65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.775563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x356b…1c3fbacked 3DMAX39c29.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.38633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53f0…fff4backed 3DMAX59c19.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.151872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.