CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0aef36a17e26e1a02ba5d341601f72926d1cfbc85dbaf33b3a2e662e93a8b10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,221 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54f3…7e73backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…672dbacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 48c | 2,356$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.38 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 52c | 808.19$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.46 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 49c | 611.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.1 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…2c1cbacked Over | 49c | 307.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.64 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 51c | 259.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.34 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 218.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.05 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 76c | 168.01$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Under | 63c | 107.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 52c | 107.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Under | 33c | 80.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 39c | 77.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Under | 51c | 69.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…853dbacked Over | 49c | 60.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 48.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13f…7682backed Under | 62c | 40.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…020dbacked Under | 51c | 40.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…ff0ebacked Over | 46c | 29.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 24.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 314 | 40.1%126 W · 188 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2TheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)3DMAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.