Fifa International · resolved market
Will Ivory Coast finish second in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5392782631bbfda2845b83f02bb97820b789af583bed1f175b4b475727997358
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 10c | 1,501$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 39c | 1,335$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.15 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 8c | 830$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 2c | 625.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 71c | 500.28$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.23 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…7744backed Yes | 72c | 488.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.22 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 39c | 389.51$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 45c | 378$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.96 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 18c | 340$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 41c | 255$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 69c | 197.73$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f2…54dcbacked No | 73c | 177$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x503e…999cbacked Yes | 37c | 166.05$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.05 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 31c | 154.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 140$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 69c | 134.84$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 44c | 120.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 27c | 97.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 89.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 63c | 89.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 30c | 74.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd232…b817backed Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 33c | 59.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 31c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 67c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 30c | 58.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…4433backed Yes | 70c | 57.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes | 70c | 55.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed Yes | 32c | 50.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 57c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…e036backed Yes | 44c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 61c | 40.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x610e…b852backed Yes | 55c | 35.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed No | 68c | 33.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8e54backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x923b…e08abacked No | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -15.0wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 68c | 18.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ivory Coast finish second in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?this page
- Will Ecuador finish second in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Germany finish second in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.