NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02cc3757a05ec20493ebd9c1abca54f07b25b60b3689f64cbef45e0957305d6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Under | 47c | 57,777$27,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,538.88 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 53c | 55,685$29,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,362.72 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae38…66aabacked Over | 54c | 12,000$6,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,425.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 45c | 3,846$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.2 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 50c | 3,817$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.5 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 1,213$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.67 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 46c | 977.9$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.91 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b4…90c6backed Under | 52c | 920.32$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 913.27$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.77 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 444$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Under | 47c | 441.89$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.2 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 47c | 298$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.94 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 50c | 218$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…5945backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 137$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Over | 53c | 133.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba1…b0b6backed Under | 51c | 114$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 107$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…28f4backed Over | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 198 | 44.4%88 W · 110 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 48c | 86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over | 53c | 77.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…6c67backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Over | 52c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 48c | 37.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…d430backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfac…7c8fbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 48c | 25.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde11…2e96backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…9454backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. SabresSabres won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.