College Football · resolved market
Alabama vs. Auburn: O/U 46.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa31f4b669453b12e13575302de5e061ed367ce0d2f236dd7ea256f6818ecc221
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 52c | 57,544$29,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,797.36 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 41,387$19,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,958.29 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Over | 53c | 10,026$5,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,732.07 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 7,904$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.39 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 46c | 5,867$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 5,500$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Over | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.51 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 3,213$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.04 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over | 55c | 2,500$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.96 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.17 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 1,530$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.7 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 50c | 805$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.5 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 781$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.98 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Under | 47c | 614.89$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 441$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.28 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Under | 47c | 404.26$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 48c | 379.58$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.2 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 224.14$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.29 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…6ea7backed Under | 50c | 168.21$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Under | 50c | 165.28$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Under | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d52…47c5backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 48c | 98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…cfa6backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7f61backed Under | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Over | 52c | 29.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Over | 50c | 24.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alabama vs. Auburn: O/U 46.5this page
- Alabama vs. AuburnAlabama won
- Alabama vs. Auburn: O/U 47.5Under won
- O/U 48.5Under won
- Spread: Alabama (-4.5)Alabama won
- Spread: Alabama (-5.5)Alabama won
- Spread: Alabama (-6.5)Alabama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.