College Football · resolved market
O/U 48.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x982b12598e182c59d7803d528d3a56abc1dd535c4dc8cc155be0c22eaa4065fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 57c | 4,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 43c | 4,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 52c | 2,407$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.13 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 2,316$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.31 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 48c | 2,240$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.2 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 1,286$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.86 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 571$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.4 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 54c | 451$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.97 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 189$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…f095backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 48c | 74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Under | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 68.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Under | 59c | 58.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Over | 37c | 35.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 28.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 48.5this page
- Alabama vs. AuburnAlabama won
- Alabama vs. Auburn: O/U 46.5Over won
- Alabama vs. Auburn: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Alabama (-4.5)Alabama won
- Spread: Alabama (-5.5)Alabama won
- Spread: Alabama (-6.5)Alabama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.