Fifa International · resolved market
FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb6580926b5ceedbdd59d979f4582f1c98cbf9718f207518d08c0fcd067ee270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3779…f61cbacked Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes | 28c | 299.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 30c | 271.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 117 | 30.8%36 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf792…1682backed No | 74c | 260$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 74c | 247.05$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked No | 71c | 123.79$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…0720backed Yes | 45c | 112.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…46d6backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…0e07backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 30c | 78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 29c | 70.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 73c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 27c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe048…781abacked Yes | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd3…21a8backed No | 73c | 24.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc562…7c61backed No | 72c | 21.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…e6cdbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a9…e80cbacked No | 79c | 15.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed No | 75c | 13.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.