Tennis · resolved market
Ningbo Open: Lin Zhu vs Diana Shnaider
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x331e642e010a5cee93df6ae550688e8c181c2bba275ffb6801bd1d7731e05b65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shnaiderof Zhu, Shnaider
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Shnaider | 40c | 2,715$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.46 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Shnaider | 69c | 2,596$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.18 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Zhu | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zhu | 60c | 1,920$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.4 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zhu | 31c | 1,279$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.29 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…e848backed Shnaider | 71c | 1,174$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed Zhu | 31c | 807$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zhu | 56c | 787.12$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Zhu | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zhu | 40c | 382.57$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.01 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Zhu | 47c | 362.74$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.52 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Shnaider | 67c | 338.33$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Zhu | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Shnaider | 60c | 219.22$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Zhu | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Zhu | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Shnaider | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Shnaider | 35c | 153.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Zhu | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Shnaider | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Shnaider | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Zhu | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Shnaider | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Zhu | 23c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Zhu | 56c | 67.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Zhu | 52c | 67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Shnaider | 62c | 64.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…08bfbacked Shnaider | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…7f8bbacked Shnaider | 60c | 40.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Zhu | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Shnaider | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3f…994fbacked Shnaider | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Zhu | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.