Euroleague · resolved market
Paris Basketball vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1ecbde0a5031167193c3d98ad6d96b485c73a9e2e3b8225dc68b6569717b665
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hapoel Tel Avivof Paris Basketball, Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Paris Basketball | 47c | 585.85$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.84 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…50b1backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 55c | 549.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…cef3backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 54c | 549.03$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 53c | 532.66$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Paris Basketball | 45c | 472.09$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.44 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Paris Basketball | 45c | 322.27$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.66 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…5e38backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 53c | 189.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…6316backed Paris Basketball | 49c | 176.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…80e3backed Paris Basketball | 49c | 175.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Paris Basketball | 47c | 167.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Paris Basketball | 49c | 165$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa580…89f5backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 53c | 162.65$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Paris Basketball | 46c | 159.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paris Basketball | 44c | 107.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…fd36backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…b62ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 52c | 77.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Paris Basketball | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Paris Basketball | 44c | 59.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5938…fde2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 53c | 39.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 51c | 26.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Paris Basketball | 46c | 24.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.