Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Twente '65 vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb9aa79a32ad40d3a9ae6851c2b09e421c5a29ea9c23ba2e27ed26b5ba80973c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 34c | 4,115$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.65 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 60c | 1,658$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.08 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 1,346$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.4 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 68c | 1,331$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.53 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f0…964ebacked Yes | 61c | 556.16$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 5c | 318.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 28c | 240$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 11c | 121.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +862.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 41c | 112.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…1790backed Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked No | 57c | 88.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 16c | 62.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 74c | 40.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5e…d841backed Yes | 29c | 39.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd5…268cbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 52c | 23.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 56c | 20.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Twente '65 vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-11-07?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2025-11-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.