Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul 2: Tiago Pereira vs Max Basing
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f7732c83ed847db90cda82d2925ab21fd00e7372b538db84e5719884d9d1677
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Max Basingof Tiago Pereira, Max Basing
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Max Basing | 58c | 2,587$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.98 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tiago Pereira | 42c | 2,329$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.04 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…caf0backed Max Basing | 61c | 1,633$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.7 | 105 | 70.5%74 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tiago Pereira | 32c | 1,584$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.49 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Tiago Pereira | 44c | 767$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.48 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Max Basing | 56c | 631.82$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tiago Pereira | 43c | 599.97$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.99 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…a7b6backed Tiago Pereira | 19c | 514.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Tiago Pereira | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Max Basing | 58c | 280.93$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.34 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…23b4backed Tiago Pereira | 18c | 256.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tiago Pereira | 18c | 232.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Tiago Pereira | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Max Basing | 57c | 157.95$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…7c69backed Tiago Pereira | 27c | 147.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -32.8wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Tiago Pereira | 42c | 137.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Tiago Pereira | 37c | 130.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Tiago Pereira | 32c | 127.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Max Basing | 59c | 109.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 251 | 47%118 W · 133 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Max Basing | 70c | 108.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Max Basing | 56c | 107.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tiago Pereira | 25c | 104.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Max Basing | 62c | 102.86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Tiago Pereira | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Tiago Pereira | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Max Basing | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 309 | 69.6%215 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Tiago Pereira | 45c | 81.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 278 | 55%153 W · 125 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tiago Pereira | 42c | 78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Max Basing | 73c | 77.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 455 | 53%241 W · 214 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766f…1cb3backed Tiago Pereira | 21c | 71.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Max Basing | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Tiago Pereira | 36c | 66.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Max Basing | 76c | 60.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tiago Pereira | 38c | 56.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Tiago Pereira | 39c | 51.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Tiago Pereira | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 593 | 47.4%281 W · 312 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Max Basing | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Tiago Pereira | 44c | 41.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 478 | 51.5%246 W · 232 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Max Basing | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Max Basing | 58c | 36.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Max Basing | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Max Basing | 58c | 35.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 595 | 65.4%389 W · 206 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7e67backed Max Basing | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Tiago Pereira | 41c | 34.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Max Basing | 56c | 33.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 492 | 51.6%254 W · 238 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Max Basing | 59c | 31.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Max Basing | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 340 | 52.1%177 W · 163 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Max Basing | 76c | 26.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Max Basing | 58c | 25.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Max Basing | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Max Basing | 70c | 20.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Max Basing | 58c | 20.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Max Basing | 64c | 20.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 720 | 47.9%345 W · 375 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…c338backed Max Basing | 62c | 16.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.