Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x924f1e0802a9fbfa10c04db4a92d4f8b491e91fdf140f50a8bb3dd320cb465aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Tideboundof Team Tidebound, Yakutou Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yakutou Brothers | 4c | 800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Yakutou Brothers | 38c | 795.12$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.15 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Team Tidebound | 62c | 630.64$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.27 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Tidebound | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Yakutou Brothers | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yakutou Brothers | 5c | 369.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Team Tidebound | 63c | 249.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Tidebound | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yakutou Brothers | 38c | 197.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Tidebound | 61c | 150.83$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yakutou Brothers | 37c | 136.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Yakutou Brothers | 38c | 133.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Tidebound | 61c | 116.28$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Yakutou Brothers | 39c | 104.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…2d66backed Team Tidebound | 62c | 73.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…a523backed Yakutou Brothers | 30c | 70.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Team Tidebound | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Team Tidebound | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Team Tidebound | 63c | 35.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yakutou Brothers | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b1…7d09backed Team Tidebound | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 WinnerTeam Tidebound won
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 WinnerTeam Tidebound won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.