Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ad3dcf3c0203f1a712a29da221dfe0ec818c37ab79635e474ccfda927329c4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Tideboundof Team Tidebound, Yakutou Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Tidebound | 63c | 1,884$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.12 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yakutou Brothers | 37c | 1,511$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.77 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 17c | 1,000$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.48 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Yakutou Brothers | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yakutou Brothers | 11c | 816.61$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Tidebound | 77c | 519.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.23 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Yakutou Brothers | 37c | 369.23$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.62 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Tidebound | 78c | 230.35$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Team Tidebound | 72c | 194.64$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yakutou Brothers | 38c | 148.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Team Tidebound | 62c | 148.94$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Yakutou Brothers | 39c | 130.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Team Tidebound | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yakutou Brothers | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…99ebbacked Team Tidebound | 64c | 26.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 146 | 68.5%100 W · 46 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed Team Tidebound | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)Team Tidebound won
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 WinnerTeam Tidebound won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.