Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs Jodar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b7e9127d9ee6ccd3b4d9fe419ee5fe17c606a5367e50498b958cafe43d083e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Fritz, Jodar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Fritz | 57c | 2,000$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.51 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Jodar | 43c | 1,901$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.5 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jodar | 45c | 1,222$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.33 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Fritz | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Fritz | 61c | 511.38$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.44 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Fritz | 56c | 406.67$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.62 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Jodar | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Jodar | 44c | 391$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.98 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fritz | 58c | 334.49$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.46 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Jodar | 48c | 326.54$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.74 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…d624backed Jodar | 45c | 292.08$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…c32dbacked Fritz | 56c | 165.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed Jodar | 41c | 134.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Fritz | 57c | 125.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jodar | 44c | 117.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Jodar | 38c | 113.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fritz | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fritz | 55c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Jodar | 26c | 56.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Fritz | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Jodar | 46c | 40.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Fritz | 56c | 39.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Jodar | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…cda9backed Jodar | 47c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Fritz | 55c | 25.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…f4f1backed Fritz | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Fritz | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Fritz | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fritz | 74c | 16.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs Jodarthis page
- Fritz vs. Jodar: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Fritz vs. Jodar: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael JodarTaylor Fritz won
- Set 2 Winner: Fritz vs JodarFritz won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)Fritz won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Rafael Jodar: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.