Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf376d42ebcffde62cd28bd2fc501668e8c96011adbde9a0582c7adef3335dd26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Fritz, Jodar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jodar | 62c | 7,112$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,392.04 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae9…fef2backed Fritz | 38c | 6,358$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,918.16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Fritz | 42c | 937.64$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.46 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…552ebacked Jodar | 43c | 734.86$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Fritz | 37c | 561$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.43 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Fritz | 34c | 458.27$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.49 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Jodar | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 452 | 51.5%233 W · 219 L | -21.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Jodar | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Fritz | 33c | 298.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,143 | 41.3%472 W · 671 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jodar | 62c | 251.9$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.61 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa71…e758backed Fritz | 37c | 222$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Jodar | 63c | 216.28$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.26 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…ff0abacked Fritz | 36c | 204.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…8944backed Jodar | 64c | 204.69$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Jodar | 64c | 199.75$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 990 | 49.4%489 W · 501 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…8573backed Jodar | 64c | 168.81$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Fritz | 65c | 138.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Jodar | 44c | 126.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 600 | 42%252 W · 348 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Jodar | 64c | 120.31$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa008…0588backed Jodar | 64c | 116.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Jodar | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca9…7b25backed Jodar | 67c | 88.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Fritz | 38c | 87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 303 | 35.3%107 W · 196 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Fritz | 37c | 79.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…aa65backed Jodar | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Fritz | 55c | 68.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Jodar | 64c | 66.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Jodar | 49c | 63.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Jodar | 19c | 62.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Fritz | 41c | 59.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Fritz | 34c | 58.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 166 | 36.7%61 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…ec45backed Jodar | 66c | 58.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Jodar | 59c | 49.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 1,073 | 60.4%648 W · 425 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Fritz | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 401 | 36.4%146 W · 255 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Jodar | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,001 | 38.4%384 W · 617 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Jodar | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 554 | 37.5%208 W · 346 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fritz | 39c | 36.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ea…f900backed Fritz | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…be17backed Jodar | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…0473backed Jodar | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe454…8b7dbacked Fritz | 38c | 28.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Fritz | 37c | 27.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 1,235 | 44.9%554 W · 681 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Jodar | 62c | 23.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,802 | 58.9%1,062 W · 740 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c2…2682backed Jodar | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd908…9a3bbacked Jodar | 53c | 21.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Jodar | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 663 | 47.1%312 W · 351 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)this page
- Fritz vs. Jodar: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Fritz vs. Jodar: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael JodarTaylor Fritz won
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs JodarFritz won
- Set 2 Winner: Fritz vs JodarFritz won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Rafael Jodar: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.