TailMyPicks
Market

MLB · resolved market

Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,434
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,478

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,434 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over51c135,806$69,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,700.611,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under49c19,448$9,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,521.464,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c16,564$8,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,213.2811,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c15,191$7,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,313.8110,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c12,458$6,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,022.28,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under49c11,945$5,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,853.1779247.5%376 W · 416 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Under49c10,883$5,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,375.522447.3%106 W · 118 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00036246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under48c5,297$2,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,536.43,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c5,279$2,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,586.61,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c3,302$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.116,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under50c2,730$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.351,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2251,30150.2%653 W · 648 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c2,250$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.55,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Under48c2,001$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.4847745.7%218 W · 259 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under50c1,950$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.758,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under50c1,835$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.472,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed Under3c1,700$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58593.4%2 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e50…0ea8backed Under3c1,700$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58586.9%4 W · 54 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+79.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d6…513fbacked Under54c1,657$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.031154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd58d…c2d6backed Over49c1,633$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.6515149.7%75 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Under49c1,500$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73034353.4%183 W · 160 L+18.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70046048.5%223 W · 237 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under49c1,148$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.557551.7%297 W · 278 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over62c1,058$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.0812,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under50c1,024$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5122,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under49c1,021$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.291,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4122149.3%109 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,85544%817 W · 1,038 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e8…9490backed Under3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30440%0 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under3c999$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.97513.9%2 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under48c862.75$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.1248653.7%261 W · 225 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over48c822.98$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.9575248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28861652.8%325 W · 291 L+31.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Under49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2949148.4%44 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under47c505$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3582636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under50c411.46$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.7318741.2%77 W · 110 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under49c399$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.511,84849.6%917 W · 931 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15034639.6%137 W · 209 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7774…2b2cbacked Under52c300$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.56648.5%32 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Under52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Under52c286.59$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4548851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c273.32$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.282,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Under48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12051849.4%256 W · 262 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under50c238.31$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.532,17239.9%866 W · 1,306 L+1.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under48c225.88$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.188,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd934…8caabacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+66.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011041.8%46 W · 64 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Under48c180$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.41464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under52c174.3$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.644,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3517…5862backed Over64c160$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.69154.9%50 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7299947.5%475 W · 524 L-3.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018272%131 W · 51 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under47c146$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.621,93941.2%799 W · 1,140 L-30.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c146$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.081,53848.6%747 W · 791 L-5.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under49c143$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0724450%122 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under50c132.66$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3341346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Under49c126.43$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.95825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under51c125$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.251,81949.3%896 W · 923 L-24.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over45c118.78$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.335,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Under52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6035054.6%191 W · 159 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Under54c110.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6046152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Under51c107.1$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6840753.3%217 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe70…7533backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481625%4 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Over48c99.36$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8755448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd770…209dbacked Over46c98.13$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5215248%73 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Under52c86.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4546255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over51c85.26$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.721,21250%606 W · 606 L+5.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under50c80.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.442,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Under54c73.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4053655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under46c69.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3248445.9%222 W · 262 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…f356backed Under68c67.71$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.045468.5%37 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba2c…fddabacked Under49c64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.362532%8 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over64c61.43$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1155645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under51c57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3589548.3%432 W · 463 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Under54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023357.5%134 W · 99 L+22.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under52c41.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6411852.5%62 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under50c39.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981,27857%728 W · 550 L+33.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over64c38.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9452750.1%264 W · 263 L+19.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Under49c37.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3816643.4%72 W · 94 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd27d…fa96backed Under49c37.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.33638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9735…db39backed Under68c36.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256154.1%33 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under49c35.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.219955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Over49c32.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6530446.4%141 W · 163 L-25.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under48c30.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4941141.4%170 W · 241 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d04…8d70backed Under50c29.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6570%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Under46c25.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5939653%210 W · 186 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3539253.6%210 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d4d…2008backed Under49c24.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.165141.2%21 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x061e…8f24backed Under49c24.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…7ce5backed Under48c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5212340.7%50 W · 73 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under55c23.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.881,37454.2%745 W · 629 L+16.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Under61c22.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5214351%73 W · 70 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Under49c21.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4713151.1%67 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Under51c19.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.159534.5%205 W · 390 L-22.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.