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MLB · resolved market

Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Atlanta Bravesof Washington Nationals, Atlanta Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,993 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Atlanta Braves66c23,879$15,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,010.773,10748.1%1,495 W · 1,612 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Washington Nationals0c11,947$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6614924.2%36 W · 113 L-0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals15c7,725$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.288,65452.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L+506.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Washington Nationals1c5,923$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.361,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Washington Nationals17c5,882$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023457.7%135 W · 99 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Atlanta Braves61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56050652.6%266 W · 240 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals38c3,906$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.2871853.3%383 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals21c3,830$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.24,40147.5%2,090 W · 2,311 L-76.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Washington Nationals38c3,553$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.1445853.7%246 W · 212 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals38c3,421$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30019250%96 W · 96 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Washington Nationals38c3,258$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.093351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0385…acafbacked Washington Nationals40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Washington Nationals38c2,344$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.7244945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Washington Nationals13c1,798$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.763043.3%273 W · 357 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ecc…8f07backed Washington Nationals39c1,640$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.46742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Washington Nationals38c1,563$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.9429654.1%160 W · 136 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Washington Nationals38c1,563$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.9428852.8%152 W · 136 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves63c1,538$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.438,45147.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L+81.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Washington Nationals39c1,350$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.521436.9%79 W · 135 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Washington Nationals38c1,093$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.1826255.7%146 W · 116 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed Washington Nationals16c1,060$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.45532.7%18 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Atlanta Braves61c1,015$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.62,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals7c968.97$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.354,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves61c893.75$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.5610451%53 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Washington Nationals38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007160.6%43 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals18c757.5$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.653,46551.2%1,774 W · 1,691 L+105.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Atlanta Braves67c746$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.189165.9%60 W · 31 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves69c642.4$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.6311,60652.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L+210.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals39c628.17$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.997,04650.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1e2…aedcbacked Washington Nationals38c618.93$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.1930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Washington Nationals39c585$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.151,67149.1%820 W · 851 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Atlanta Braves62c557$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.662,05853.8%1,107 W · 951 L+33.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2afc…23c9backed Washington Nationals40c543.7$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.483145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Atlanta Braves63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1928156.9%160 W · 121 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Washington Nationals38c469$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2261250.5%309 W · 303 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Washington Nationals14c409.44$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5787948%422 W · 457 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves76c406.44$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988,25146.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L+41.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Braves61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1565,23556.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L+130.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Washington Nationals38c390.6$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4337546.9%176 W · 199 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Washington Nationals37c390.4$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4557758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Atlanta Braves61c354.84$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3948446.7%226 W · 258 L-33.7wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves75c344.66$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.294,52448.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L-42.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab61…fb2bbacked Atlanta Braves63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.468647.7%41 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Washington Nationals16c301.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52,19140%876 W · 1,315 L+1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Atlanta Braves60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1207456.8%42 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Washington Nationals39c256.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2392350.1%462 W · 461 L-1.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4934…5951backed Washington Nationals39c256$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8411457%65 W · 49 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Washington Nationals40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10081757%466 W · 351 L-2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Atlanta Braves63c220.51$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.591,22454%661 W · 563 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d91…3578backed Washington Nationals40c220$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8814164.5%91 W · 50 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Washington Nationals38c203.21$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2280143.3%347 W · 454 L-1.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803,31446.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Washington Nationals15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023642.4%100 W · 136 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffd4…b60fbacked Washington Nationals37c198$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.26944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Washington Nationals38c197.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8816950.9%86 W · 83 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Washington Nationals38c175.8$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.881055.1%446 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Washington Nationals32c174.91$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4118145.9%83 W · 98 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b11…2976backed Atlanta Braves61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.935964.4%38 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Washington Nationals33c163.38$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9122740.5%92 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9278…9a1bbacked Atlanta Braves62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2913057.7%75 W · 55 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x139c…1db1backed Atlanta Braves63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.738356.6%47 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Atlanta Braves63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7335254.5%192 W · 160 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Atlanta Braves63c156$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6335668.8%245 W · 111 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Washington Nationals10c150.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512024.2%29 W · 91 L-11.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-40.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Washington Nationals38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5723255.2%128 W · 104 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Washington Nationals16c149.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7740753.3%217 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Atlanta Braves64c141.48$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4946152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Atlanta Braves74c135.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9953655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Atlanta Braves62c133$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5475753.2%403 W · 354 L+24.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaadd…9525backed Atlanta Braves61c129.51$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.511752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8421…4e30backed Atlanta Braves61c129.45$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.499036.7%33 W · 57 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked Atlanta Braves61c127.05$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5580855.3%447 W · 361 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa448…3046backed Washington Nationals38c125$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.53655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Washington Nationals16c124.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.512,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals9c124.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.882,06439.2%810 W · 1,254 L-29.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Washington Nationals20c122.26$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1710838.9%42 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8fe…359dbacked Atlanta Braves61c116.36$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3812245.9%56 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Atlanta Braves70c115.79$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1155448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Atlanta Braves63c114$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1842550.1%213 W · 212 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b2…f2d7backed Atlanta Braves61c112.02$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.69757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Washington Nationals28c107.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018955.6%105 W · 84 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…781ebacked Atlanta Braves62c103.1$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1810759.8%64 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Atlanta Braves74c102.01$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2746255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Washington Nationals38c102$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7616256.2%91 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed Atlanta Braves62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3818345.9%84 W · 99 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Washington Nationals38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3818052.2%94 W · 86 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Washington Nationals11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1662446.8%292 W · 332 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Atlanta Braves73c99.57$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3463049.2%310 W · 320 L+1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe372…2d51backed Atlanta Braves62c88.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.718661.6%53 W · 33 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25d5…11fcbacked Atlanta Braves61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.977653.9%41 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Atlanta Braves61c80.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.331,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed Washington Nationals39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.240052.3%209 W · 191 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Washington Nationals38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016044.4%71 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Washington Nationals38c78.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6935052.6%184 W · 166 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Washington Nationals38c78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6420651.9%107 W · 99 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6b6…f6dfbacked Washington Nationals38c77.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1529541.7%123 W · 172 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cb…a226backed Atlanta Braves63c73.92$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3540456.2%227 W · 177 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01d7…f197backed Washington Nationals38c73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.744153.7%22 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7655…f0b2backed Atlanta Braves61c68.7$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.792360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Washington Nationals38c67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4677052.1%401 W · 369 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.