Tennis · resolved market
Jodar vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29a97260057007f603a199e28d4cd947c08a2051534c90f86c8377a07efcb775
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 3,255$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.6 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 52c | 2,783$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.63 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 52c | 726$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.48 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 48c | 425.96$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.46 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 291.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 52c | 290$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 52c | 290$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Under | 47c | 249.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 23c | 165.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Under | 53c | 149.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 54c | 117.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Over | 68c | 111.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 53c | 90.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 54c | 90.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 53c | 88.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 40c | 66.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked Under | 48c | 59.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Over | 53c | 55.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 47c | 55.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Under | 49c | 49.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…cc50backed Over | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2914…aff6backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Over | 52c | 33.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Over | 51c | 33.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 32.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 48c | 23.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 51c | 21.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…7ab4backed Over | 50c | 20.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 53c | 19.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jodar vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Jodar vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro TabiloRafael Jodar won
- Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs TabiloTabilo won
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)Tabilo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.