Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebc63263c48d46eaf4e410b5a2d6cdf122bf1cdae6ada737a98d5f405b8fec97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tabiloof Jodar, Tabilo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Jodar | 43c | 1,862$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.42 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…ae33backed Tabilo | 57c | 862.05$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.68 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Tabilo | 55c | 475.96$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.18 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Jodar | 45c | 475.96$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.18 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e97…6561backed Tabilo | 57c | 379.32$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.11 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Tabilo | 59c | 271.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Tabilo | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Jodar | 49c | 256.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tabilo | 51c | 176.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.29 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Tabilo | 65c | 153.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Tabilo | 55c | 111.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…8944backed Jodar | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Jodar | 44c | 91.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…96a8backed Tabilo | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jodar | 31c | 75.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Tabilo | 57c | 44.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Tabilo | 57c | 35.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked Tabilo | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Tabilo | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Jodar | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Tabilo | 51c | 23.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)this page
- Jodar vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Jodar vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro TabiloRafael Jodar won
- Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs TabiloTabilo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.