Golf · resolved market
Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 John Deere Classic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa39e3dc0341c52c3cf1972563e25a4f5a624cda796d9dfd36719777738809d88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 41c | 3,619$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 69c | 2,595$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.37 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283e…6381backed Yes | 22c | 1,057$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Yes | 6c | 900$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.82 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 26c | 719$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…0931backed Yes | 7c | 683.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.7 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +147.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…9699backed Yes | 8c | 616.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.3 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd771…90a3backed Yes | 6c | 505.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +320.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Yes | 67c | 495.65$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.65 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 24c | 440$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Yes | 31c | 423$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 11c | 422.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.04 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 24c | 419$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Yes | 16c | 403.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.38 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9536…369bbacked Yes | 8c | 298$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 65c | 219.36$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 53c | 152.6$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 24c | 131$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 36c | 93.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 44c | 93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 21c | 78.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 55c | 77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 54c | 73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 54c | 67.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 45c | 49.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 23c | 46.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 116 | 8.6%10 W · 106 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 61c | 44.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 78c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 68c | 14.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 John Deere Classic?this page
- Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Ben Kohles win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will David Lipsky win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Doug Ghim win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Emiliano Grillo win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Jackson Suber win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Lee Hodges win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Lucas Glover win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Matt Wallace win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Max Homa win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Patrick Rodgers win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Ryo Hisatsune win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Taylor Pendrith win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Tom Kim win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Zac Blair win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Zach Johnson win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.