Golf · resolved market
Will Lee Hodges win the 2026 John Deere Classic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x159364c398eb55a2abad77244535563ec5ce65176fd7f1c88bc1d30b261ee77d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 6 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 7c | 527.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc5…c64dbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 102 | 68.6%70 W · 32 L | +14.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 76c | 49.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…0a8bbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 79c | 17.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lee Hodges win the 2026 John Deere Classic?this page
- Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Ben Kohles win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 John Deere Classic?Yes won
- Will David Lipsky win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Doug Ghim win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Emiliano Grillo win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Jackson Suber win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Lucas Glover win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Matt Wallace win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Max Homa win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Patrick Rodgers win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Ryo Hisatsune win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Taylor Pendrith win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Tom Kim win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Zac Blair win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
- Will Zach Johnson win the 2026 John Deere Classic?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.