TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Ben Kohles win the 2026 John Deere Classic?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,619

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,896 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes50c1,880$937 inLost-$93725449.2%125 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No45c1,388$627 inWon+$760.436241.9%26 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Yes2c1,250$30 inLost-$307529.3%22 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes37c704.89$261 inLost-$260.521952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes36c594$212 inLost-$212.319747.4%46 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No58c537.87$314 inWon+$223.537040%28 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No70c440$309 inWon+$131.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-64.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No73c439$320 inWon+$119.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes30c435.96$132 inLost-$132.1213739.4%54 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes42c281.01$118 inLost-$117.5818446.2%85 W · 99 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No68c227$153 inWon+$73.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes57c141$81 inLost-$80.6122546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No69c131$90 inWon+$41.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No75c98.28$74 inWon+$24.182669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No57c93$53 inWon+$39.56425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes15c91.12$14 inLost-$13.945540%22 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No74c83.22$61 inWon+$21.91330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No49c68$33 inWon+$34.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No48c63$30 inWon+$32.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No72c44.18$32 inWon+$12.22259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No47c34$16 inWon+$18.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No53c20$11 inWon+$9.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No53c20$11 inWon+$9.42450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-19.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.