Dota2 · resolved market
Will GamerLegion Qualify to The International 2026
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04cdb9ffead22abb4b3fbb0b74b78ca3b4355eab6879db640a7a2f1b63aa6378
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed No | 17c | 100,000$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,999.98 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 0c | 14,400$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 13c | 3,506$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.96 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 9c | 1,450$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 17c | 1,200$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.24 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 12c | 500$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 7c | 357$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked No | 18c | 235.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 13c | 150.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Yes | 80c | 18.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GamerLegion Qualify to The International 2026this page
- Will 4 Anchors and Ilmeria Qualify to The International 2026No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.