Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a7716b6ab365a72ac4d2e7bdc1a88b52df38cd1f8002a2274d95ca08dee18f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 57c | 892.2$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.72 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 50c | 774.19$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 54c | 560.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 46c | 453.16$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.95 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 42c | 397.29$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.33 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 42c | 331.36$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.96 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 43c | 261.15$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.04 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 39c | 257$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 50c | 248.55$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.28 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked Yes | 58c | 205.08$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.46 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Yes | 60c | 167.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 26c | 148.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.34 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 41c | 145.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.93 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 58c | 130.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked No | 37c | 123.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 348 | 31%108 W · 240 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 47c | 120$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 44c | 116.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 44c | 116.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 62c | 105.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 43c | 97.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 41c | 94.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 46c | 92.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…60e9backed Yes | 54c | 90.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 47c | 90.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 57c | 87.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 52c | 83.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 53c | 81.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 57c | 78.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 49c | 77.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 14c | 72.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 69.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 58c | 65.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…73e3backed No | 41c | 60.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2184…d271backed No | 41c | 58.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 44c | 57.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 54.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 49c | 54.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 32c | 53.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…1a13backed Yes | 59c | 50.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 75c | 45.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 45c | 45.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 46c | 42.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…b4bbbacked No | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 41c | 39.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 47c | 39.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 43c | 38.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf810…e67bbacked No | 41c | 37.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…c1d0backed No | 42c | 35.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 63c | 35.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 616 | 76.3%470 W · 146 L | +92.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…d931backed No | 43c | 34.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 199 | 56.3%112 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3990…06bebacked No | 37c | 34.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 42c | 34.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 78c | 34.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 56c | 33.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…d659backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 51.8%101 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 43c | 32.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 281 | 63.7%179 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed Yes | 52c | 30.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5c…a906backed Yes | 60c | 30.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…a808backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac22…363ebacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes | 58c | 29.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 285 | 46.3%132 W · 153 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed No | 42c | 28.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed Yes | 55c | 25.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb699…4e20backed No | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33e…8736backed No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…5565backed No | 41c | 24.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 56c | 22.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…04e1backed Yes | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 371 | 44.2%164 W · 207 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 52c | 21.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…1479backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…d394backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…73f7backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 252 | 61.9%156 W · 96 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 809 | 62.1%502 W · 307 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…a18ebacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbc…9feabacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b27…ff88backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…c401backed Yes | 61c | 17.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 78c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.