Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Barça eSports (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e616338c3ce3326dabd8e28ae60b107da13705e88ee3155ab59b9649be02902
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barça eSportsof Team Orange Gaming, Barça eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Team Orange Gaming | 18c | 2,887$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.11 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Barça eSports | 52c | 2,335$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.27 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Orange Gaming | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Orange Gaming | 49c | 500$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.5 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Orange Gaming | 44c | 221.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2d…61dfbacked Barça eSports | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Orange Gaming | 50c | 177.6$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Barça eSports | 50c | 177.6$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Barça eSports | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Barça eSports | 51c | 65.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Barça eSports | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Barça eSports | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Team Orange Gaming | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked Barça eSports | 64c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.